Goldman Sachs sees Brazil and Argentina in the final of the World Cup
Goldman Sachs expects the final of the World Cup between Brazil and Argentina , that if the bank fails not the host team should win . Spain and Germany reach the semi-finals , according to the statistical model used by the entity . A victory that means higher stock market gains for equities winner country.
Just two weeks before the World Cup in Brazil and the U.S. bank has published his classic report which analyzes football aspects and the economic impact of one of the biggest sporting events.
Goldman Sachs experts give a 50 % Brazil as virtual trophy winner . " The most striking aspect of our model is as favors Brazil to win the World Cup, followed by Argentina and Germany but with a much lower probability " point in the report released today .
"It is hardly surprising that the most successful team in the history of football is the favorite to win the World Cup at home," Goldman Sachs qualifies . That the World was held in Latin America makes teams in the region are more likely . According to calculations by the entity , there is a 65 % chance of it being a Latin American team to win the trophy.
The impact on the stock
The bag is no stranger to the football passions , according to Goldman . The winning country markets of the World Cup tend to rise by 3.5 % more than the market average in the team after winning month is proclaimed . Although this rise above the average " fades after three months."
" All ( countries ) winners since 1974 have outperformed the market in the post to the end, with the exception of Brazil 2002 month ," says Goldman Sachs. This is because the macroeconomic events of that year led to a deep recession and a crisis of the Brazilian currency that overshadowed the impact of victory.
The Dream Team
Analysts at Goldman Sachs have also designed his starting ideal face to the World Cup , a team in which half of the components play in the Spanish league.
Among them, the bank includes Neymar, Alves and Messi of Barcelona, Ronaldo Real Madrid and two Spanish Ramos (Real Madrid) , Iniesta ( Barcelona). The rest of the Dream Team made up of three players from Bayern Munich , Neuer, Ribéry and Lahm , one of Paris Saint- Germain , Thiago Silva, and other Chelsea , Eden Hazard.
- eleconomista.es
Goldman Sachs experts give a 50 % Brazil as virtual trophy winner . " The most striking aspect of our model is as favors Brazil to win the World Cup, followed by Argentina and Germany but with a much lower probability " point in the report released today .
"It is hardly surprising that the most successful team in the history of football is the favorite to win the World Cup at home," Goldman Sachs qualifies . That the World was held in Latin America makes teams in the region are more likely . According to calculations by the entity , there is a 65 % chance of it being a Latin American team to win the trophy.
The impact on the stock
The bag is no stranger to the football passions , according to Goldman . The winning country markets of the World Cup tend to rise by 3.5 % more than the market average in the team after winning month is proclaimed . Although this rise above the average " fades after three months."
" All ( countries ) winners since 1974 have outperformed the market in the post to the end, with the exception of Brazil 2002 month ," says Goldman Sachs. This is because the macroeconomic events of that year led to a deep recession and a crisis of the Brazilian currency that overshadowed the impact of victory.
The Dream Team
Analysts at Goldman Sachs have also designed his starting ideal face to the World Cup , a team in which half of the components play in the Spanish league.
Among them, the bank includes Neymar, Alves and Messi of Barcelona, Ronaldo Real Madrid and two Spanish Ramos (Real Madrid) , Iniesta ( Barcelona). The rest of the Dream Team made up of three players from Bayern Munich , Neuer, Ribéry and Lahm , one of Paris Saint- Germain , Thiago Silva, and other Chelsea , Eden Hazard.
- eleconomista.es
